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@Hypolite Petovan My gut feeling does not agree with the hard math, which is the whole point of the OP.

1990 is just before The White Room came out, so pretty recent. 2050 is the Far Future when we will finally get our jetpacks and our UIs will be intuitive.
This entry was edited (2 years ago)
Thank you for the explanation, I’ve always had a hard time relating to this feeling as I don’t have specific hopes for the future to seem distant nor a good enough picture of the past for it to seem close.

For me, the original assertion is very matter-of-factly and as such pretty uninteresting on its own, even though I’ve learned it routinely elicit such reactions as yours.
I have a high chance to be alive on the first and dead on the second, that still suggests some perspective. :shrug
Are we still talking about 1990 and 2050 or did I miss something?
I do, can't speak for others.
(Life expectancy for Hungary is between 69–76 years.)
I don't understand how you can have a high chance to be alive back in 1990? You should know, shouldn't you?
I can't be sure but I bet on a pretty high probability.
It's a problem since Plato: whether what I know is what there is, or it's an illusion or mistake.

I might be dead for a while.
Maybe you don't exist.
Don't ask me.
@grin@Hypolite Petovan On the one hand: Sure.

On the other hand we can't add a factor "or it might all be an illusion, who knows" to every observation we make, it doesn't make the observation more useful and doesn't help us predict anything.
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