Maybe naïve questions: How does #UBI sits in the #MMT framework? Public spending would far exceed production in the first months/years of the policy being enacted, since it can’t replace all social benefits?
#UniversalBasicIncome #ModernMonetaryTheory
Martin Whale
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•>sfb< SigmundFreud'sBartender
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Pinky Floyd
•two things you may want to consider in this thought exercise:
1) it wouldn't happen overnight, funds would be gradually shifted over a period of years;
2) in 2022 the federal govt (usa) spent $1.2 Trillion with a T on social services ($9000 per household).
Hypolite Petovan
•@Pinky Floyd Thank you for your reply, you're probably right, I assume a rollout could start with the people who already are receiving social security benefits.
As for the social services spendings, I'd be curious to see how it's spread, do you have a web page handy?
Pinky Floyd
•sure, attached is a cool image of all the programs, it's from 2013 but still highly representative and a great visualization.
here's where the current $1.19 trillion figure comes from: https://budget.house.gov/press-release/7582/
Biden’s Budget: A Future That’s Built on Government Dependence | The U.S. House Committee on the Budget - House Budget Committee
budget.house.govHypolite Petovan
•@Radio Jammor Let's go back to what I understand of MMT:
- Public spending is necessary for any government issuing their own currency (like the US) to put currency in circulation.
- Currency is needed to exchange goods and services produced inside the territory where this currency is used.
- Taxes at a national level are used to both increase the demand for the currency and control its total amount.
- National debt is just another way of saying "the amount of currency in circulation", which doesn't make any sense reducing unless the economy is also contracting.
- The level of public spending should then not be correlated with national income but with the gross domestic product.
Secondly, my idea of a UBI program would only replace very specific social security programs (unemployment and food stamps are two prominent examples) so the increased spending with UBI wouldn't be compensated by a significant cut of its existing spending.
In this sense, UBI doesn't particularly ruffle any MMT feathers, except maybe the last one?
Hypolite Petovan
•Dallas Lewis
•@radiojammor
Most MMT people would support a GBI. None support UBI because of the negative macroeconomic consequences you mentioned.
Dallas Lewis
•@samfromtheus
Your post was absolutely fine.
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Hypolite Petovan
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•Dallas Lewis
•@radiojammor
None of it will happen until we get a progressive government and our only chance of that is a Labor minority with a progressive cross bench.
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Hypolite Petovan
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